Projected Growth of the Global Automotive Lithium-Ion Battery Market: Capacity Forecasts
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• Diversifying battery chemistries and metal sourcing could help reduce the cost of batteries, which currently account for 40-50% of electric vehicle (EV)
total cost.
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• Lithium-ion battery pack prices have decreased by 14% to a new low of $139/kWh in 2023, driven by declining raw material costs and expanding
production capacity amid lower-than-expected demand growth.
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Metals demand from lithium-ion batteries forecast to 2030
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Global lithium-ion battery demand is projected to grow by 1,829% from
2015 to 2030.
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0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030
% change from 2015
Passenger EVs Commercial EVs Stationary storage
Consumer electronics E-buses
1. Global Automotive Lithium-ion Battery Market: Key Research Findings 2023, January 12, 2024 , retrieved 6/30/2024.
2. Bloomberg, EV Battery Prices Risk Reversing Downward Trend as Metals Surge, September 14, 2022 , retrieved 6/30/2024.
3. Bloomberg NEF, Lithium-Ion Battery Pack Prices Hit Record Low of $139/kWh, November 26, 2023 , retrieved 6/30/2024.
4. Data from Bloomberg New Energy Finance, retrieved 6/30/2024.
Projected lithium-ion battery demand, by end-use
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Metals in Demand
Note: Metals demand occurs at ,mine mouth, one-year before battery demand. All metals expressed in metric tons of contained
metal ,except lithium, which is in lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE).